AFC Championship Betting Facts

Three more days until the Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots get it on in the AFC Championship. Usually these games bring out trash talk between each other but it’s been fairly quiet on that end. In fact, both teams have been complimentary of each other. However there has been some back and forth talk between the Ravens offense and defense. Joe Flacco is under enormous pressure to have a big game in this kind of spotlight. Could this be Ray Lewis and Ed Reed last game?

 

The home team has won and covered 3 straight AFC Championship games. The home team has actually won 5 straight but only covered 4 of them. The over has cashed 3 straight and 6 of the last 7 times.

 

2010-11 – Pittsburgh -4, 38
Pittsburgh 24 NY Jets 19
Favorite & over

 

2009-10 – Indianapolis -8, 40

Indianapolis 30 NY Jets 17

Favorite & over

 

2008-09 – Pittsburgh -6, 35

Pittsburgh 23 Baltimore 14

Favorite & over

 

2007-08 – New England -14, 48

New England 21 San Diego 12

Dog & under

 

2006-07 – Indianapolis -3.5, 47

Indianapolis 38 New England 34

Favorite & over

 

This is the first AFC Championship game for the Patriots since the 2007-08 season when they were 19-9 heading in to the infamous Super Bowl loss to the NY Giants.

 

Since 2000 the New England Patriots have appeared in 5 AFC Championship games.

 

This is the highest over/under in the AFC Championship game since the 1998-99 season when the total was 51.5 between the Jets and Broncos. The Broncos won that game 23-10 and the game easily went under the total. In the 2007-08 season, the total was 48 between the Chargers and Patriots. That game also went easily under the total ending with a 21-12 Pats win.

 

The Ravens are 1-1 in AFC Championship games. In 2000, they won on the road in Oakland and losing in Pittsburgh in 2008.

 

The Patriots are 6-1 in AFC Championship games which includes 4-1 on Brady/Belichick watch.

 

Baltimore is 0-6 against the Patriots in the regular season but in 2009, the Ravens upset the Patriots on the road in the first round of the playoffs.

 

New England is currently on a 9 game winning streak and have scored 31 or more points in 8 of the 9.

 

Bill Belichick is 16-6 all-time in the post season.

AFC Championship History
Year	Matchup	Score	Line	ATS
2010-11	N.Y. Jets at Pittsburgh	24-19	4, 38	Favorite, Over
2009-10	N.Y. Jets at Indianapolis	30-17	8, 40	Favorite, Over
2008-09	Baltimore at Pittsburgh	23-14	6, 35	Favorite, Over
2007-08	San Diego at New England	21-12	14, 48	Underdog, Under
2006-07	New England at Indianapolis	38-34	3.5, 47	Favorite-Over
2005-06	Pittsburgh at Denver	34-17	3, 41	Underdog-Over
2004-05	New England at Pittsburgh	41-27	3, 35	Favorite, Over
2003-04	Indianapolis at New England	24-14	3, 43	Favorite, Under
2002-03	Tennessee at Oakland	41-24	8, 47	Favorite-Over
2001-02	New England at Pittsburgh	24-17	10, 37	Underdog, Over
2000-01	Baltimore at Oakland	16-3	6, 36.5	Underdog, Under
1999-00	Tennessee at Jacksonville	33-14	7, 40.5	Underdog, Over
1998-99	N.Y. Jets at Denver	23-10	9, 51.5	Favorite, Under
1997-98	Denver at Pittsburgh	24-21	2.5, 41	Favorite, Over
1996-97	Jacksonville at New England	20-6	7, 44	Favorite, Under
1995-96	Indianapolis at Pittsburgh	20-16	12, 41	Underdog, Under
1994-95	San Diego at Pittsburgh	17-13	9, 35	Underdog, Under
1993-94	Kansas City at Buffalo	30-13	3, 38	Favorite, Under
1992-93	Buffalo at Miami	29-10	2, 41	Favorite, Under
1991-92	Denver at Buffalo	10-7	11, 45	Underdog, Under
1990-91	L.A. Raiders at Buffalo	51-3	7, 37	Favorite, Over
1989-90	Cleveland at Denver	37-21	3.5, 40	Favorite, Over
1988-89	Buffalo at Cincinnati	21-10	4, 40.5	Favorite, Under
1987-88	Cleveland at Denver	38-33	2.5, 44.5	Favorite, Over
1986-87	Denver at Cleveland	23-20	3, 38	Underdog, Over
1985-86	New England at Miami	31-14	5.5	Underdog
1984-85	Pittsburgh at Miami	45-28	9.5	Favorite
1983-84	Seattle at L.A. Raiders	30-14	7.5	Favorite
1982-83	N.Y. Jets at Miami	14-0	2	Favorite
1981-82	San Diego at Cincinnati	27-7	4.5	Favorite
1980-81	Oakland at San Diego	34-27	4	Underdog
1979-80	Houston at Pittsburgh	27-13	9.5	Favorite
1978-79	Houston at Pittsburgh	34-5	7	Favorite
1977-78	Oakland at Denver	20-17	3.5	Underdog
1976-77	Pittsburgh at Oakland	24-7	4.5	Underdog
1975-76	Oakland at Pittsburgh	16-10	6	PUSH
1974-75	Pittsburgh at Oakland	24-13	5.5	Underdog
1973-74	Oakland at Miami	27-10	6.5	Favorite
1972-73	Miami at Pittsburgh	21-17	2.5	Favorite
1971-72	Baltimore at Miami	21-0	1.5	Favorite
1970-71	Oakland at Baltimore	27-17	1	Underdog

ATS Records								Over/Under Records
	W/L	ATS	Home	Away	Grass	Turf			O/U	Home	Away	Grass	Turf	Avg.
Baltimore	12-4	8-7-1	8-0	4-4	2-3	10-1		Baltimore	8-6-2	4-4	4-2-2	2-2-1	6-4-1	40.4
New England	13-3	8-7-1	7-1	6-2	5-1	8-2		New England	11-5	5-3	6-2	4-2	7-3	50.2