Super Bowl | Betting Blog

Notable Super Bowl 47 Betting Line Changes

May 012012

Notable Super Bowl 47 Betting Line Changes

The 2012 NFL Draft is in the books, and now that bettors and the sportsbooks alike have had a chance to digest what went on over the course of the weekend, there have been some adjustments that have been made. Check out some of the teams that we think did a great job in the NFL Draft that should be counted upon at these odds as Super Bowl contenders this year.

New England Patriots (+600 @ Bookmaker Sportsbook) – The Pats did the very unusual thing of trading up, and they did it twice in the first round of the draft. They took three players that could be starting right away in their first three picks, taking Chandler Jones, Dont’a Hightower, and Tavon Wilson, and in the end, if they end up all being impact players, when combined with Jerod Mayo, the makings are there for a young defense that could be ready to pick up the slack from the offense. The first six picks for this team were all spent on defense, and New England could be set to finally give QB Tom Brady the help that he needs to get the job done.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+1800 @ Bookmaker Sportsbook) – Getting OLs David DeCastro and Mike Adams in the first two rounds of the draft without having to trade up all of a sudden makes this offensive line quite formidable. Remember that the 49ers did this last year with Anthony Davis and Mike Iupati, and they led the team all the way to the NFC Championship Game with a sturdy O-Line. Now, DeCastro and Adams will join Maurkice Pouncey up front, and this all of a sudden looks like one of the potentially best offensive lines in the league. Sure, the defense is aging just a bit, but with this infusion of talent in crucial spots for this team, there is no doubt now that the Steelers are going to be back and contending once again this year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+10000 @ Bookmaker Sportsbook) – Betting on the Bucs right now isn’t just about playing on them. It’s about playing against the Falcons and the Saints as well. It is clear that New Orleans is going to have a heck of a lot of rebuilding to do to the point that it might seriously not make the playoffs next year. The Falcons had already given up their top pick in the draft for this year as well. Sure, Carolina is going to be headed in the right direction as well, but we think that Tampa Bay has done the most to improve its team. The Bucs picked up Eric Wright defensively and Carl Nicks and Vincent Jackson offensively. They passed on Mo Claiborne and elected to trade down, pick up some picks, and take S Mark Barron instead. He’ll immediately be a starting safety for the team, and we think that the second pick in the first round that they had, RB Doug Martin is the perfect type of runner for new Head Coach Greg Schiano. The scouts are already ranting and raving about LB Lavonte Davis and his ability to take over right away at outside linebacker. Look out for a big rebound for the Buccaneers this year.

Super Bowl XLVI Player Props

Betting Odds, NFL Betting

Feb 032012

If you are like me you can barely take all the hype of the two weeks waiting period for the Super Bowl. It’s finally within striking distance, it finally matters. We’ve looked at all the crazy Super Bowl props from Madonna and her halftime outfit to how long it will take Kelly Clarkson to sing National Anthem. Some of my favorite props are the simple props of players playing in the game and their performance.

Here are some of the player props for Super Bowl XLVI at Bookmaker.eu.

Ahmad Bradshaw – Longest rush in the game will be?
over 14EV
under 14.5 -130

I think Bradshaw is capable of pulling off at least one carry of 15 yards or more. I’m thinking a draw play catches the Pats defense off guard at least once.

A couple other Bradshaw props are;

Total Pass Receptions
over 3 -120
under 3 -110

Will Bradshaw score a TD?
Yes +115
No -145

Bradshawn Total Receiving Yards
over 22.5 -120
under 22.5 -120

Bookmaker offers a ton of props on Eli Manning vs. Tom Brady.

Manning first pass will be
complete -190
incomplete – +150

Brady first pass will be
completge -220
incomplete +180

Manning or Brady – More passing yards
Manning +10.5 -130
Brady -10.5 -110

First TD Pass
Manning EV
Brady -140

First Interception
Manning -140
Brady +110

Tom Brady TD passes
over 2.5 -105
under 2.5 -125

There are so many props at Bookmaker it almost makes your head spin.

Super Bowl Prop Bets is Big Business

Betting Odds, NFL Betting

Jan 282012

The Super Bowl is the most wagered event of the entire year and some parts of the Super Bowl have become events of their own. It used to be the Super Bowl game and everything else. Now it’s almost like there are several Super Bowl events. You have the Super Bowl pre-week(s), Super Bowl props that range from betting on the coin toss all the way to what color outfit will this year’s halftime show entertainer wear (this year it’s Madonna) and Super Bowl commercials. All have become big business for Las Vegas and online sports books.

Here is a look at a few Super Bowl props available to bet on at a few different sportsbooks.

Super Bowl Coin Toss – The opening coin toss will land on heads or tails?

Heads: -115
Tails: -115

Yes, thousands of dollars will be wagered on whether the opening coin toss will land on heads or tails. No word yet, how many touts will release this as their game of the year play?

Who will win Super Bowl MVP?

Tom Brady: +100
Eli Manning: +210
Rob Gronkowski: +450
Victor Cruz +1400

Sure the Super Bowl in the past has resulted in some surprise MVP results but most of the time the winner will go to one of the big superstars of the game. While some bettors will take a flyer on guys such as Victor Cruz +1400 or Wes Welker +1500 – sportsbooks will often tempt you with players such as Chad Ochocinco +5000 or other long shots that are not very likely to be the next Super Bowl hero. Four of the last five Super Bowl MVP’s have been the QB, with Santonio Holmes formerly of the Pittsburgh Steelers being the exception.

The number of field goals made by both teams?

OVER 3.5 field goals: +145
UNDER 3.5 field goals: -175

Both teams have good field goal kickers but also consider often teams will go for “touchdown” slightly more than the regular season where they may settle for field goals. In Super Bowl 45, there were two field goals on just three attempts.

Which quarter will most points be scored in?

1st: +265
2nd: +170
3rd: +300
4th: +220

Last year the Packers/Steelers combined for 14 in the first quarter, 17 in the second, 7 in the third and 18 in the final period. Rumor has it sports handicapper Brandon Lang will place a hundred dime lock on the first quarter and chase each additional quarter until producing that big winner.

Will the Kelly Clarkson National Anthem be longer or shorter than 94 seconds?

over 94.00 seconds: -110
under 94.00 seconds: -130

Right now hundreds of sports bettors are in the film room, breaking down the National Anthem for each of the past 45 Super Bowls.

What type of shirt will Madonna wear at halftime?

Madonna wears NFL shirt with number: +280
Madonna doesn’t wear NFL shirt with number: -400

Last week Rob Lowe decided to break a story and tweet that Peyton Manning was going to retire, we can only assume that Sean Penn might be wagering that Madonna will not be wearing an Eli Manning jersey. Speaking of Peyton Manning…

How many times will Peyton Manning be shown on TV during the game?

OVER 3.5 -130
UNDER 3.5 -110

If this game gets ugly what else will they talk about besides Peyton Manning and where he will play football in 2013.

Who will Barack Obama pick to win the Super Bowl?

Our President never lets a big sporting event pass by without a prediction. These will be available on the White House web site for $19.95 on a pay after you win basis.

Which will be higher in the Super Bowl XLVI Cross Sport Prop?

Wes Welker Receptions Pk -115
Lebron James Assists Pk -115

Lebron James and the Miami Heat face Toronto on Super Bowl Sunday. Patriots fans are hoping Welker takes his talents to Disney Land after the game.

While die hard football fans will only be interested in the game itself, Patriots are a 3-point favorite over Giants, there’s a whole other game inside the game with hundreds and hundreds of Super Bowl props available to wager on.

Are sportsbooks rooting for Patriots?

NFL Betting

Jan 262012

There has been a lot of talk about the various NFL future odds tickets that gamblers have on the New York Giants to win the Super Bowl.

The Giants were only 19-1 during the preseason but after their loss to the Green Bay Packers that left them 6-6, their fourth straight loss – NFL future odds went up to about 100-1. Even at the start of the playoffs, the Giants had a tough road because of playing three playoff games including an inevitable matchup against the favored Green Bay Packers in Green Bay, that the Giants were 20-1 odds to win the big game.

At each stop, sports bettors were taking a chance on the Giants. Some shops got hit with these big future tickets while others only took a few wagers. There is several reported Las Vegas sportsbooks and at least one major offshore sportsbook that will take a heavy loss if the Giants win.

Books already took a big hit on MLB future odds when the St. Louis Cardinals were available at 250-1 when they were 10.5 games out. You know how this story ends as the Cards went on to win the World Series and some books took a big hit.

The first half of the NFL season was not very good for many of the sportsbooks but several reportedly had a great second half of the NFL regular season.

Jay Kornegay, the director of the Las Vegas Hilton Sportsbook was quoted as saying, “When the Giants lost four games in a row, they gave up almost 50 points to the Saints, they lost to Vince Young and the Eagles. They were right in the middle of a four-game losing streak. They deserved to be 80-1 at that time.”

Jimmy Vaccaro of Lucky’s Sports Book says they will not take that big of a hit with a Giants win but has heard that several books will. “At the time the “futures boards” at many Las Vegas casinos listed the Giants anywhere from 70-1 to 100-to-1 to win the Super Bowl.” “People are looking for what they call the value. They want the long shot. They want the lottery ticket.”

The odds on Super Bowl XLVI opened at -3.5 and most sportsbooks have the Patriots at -3 with the Mirage being one of the books that have dropped down to 2.5. Most consensus sites are showing a little more bets coming in on the Giants so far to date. It’s said to be about 54/46%.

If you read the betting forums or a lot of the NFL experts and analysis from ESPN and other media outlets, many are pointing out that the Giants should be favored in this game. Some contest that Eli Manning is playing as well as anyone and Tom Brady struggles against teams who can pressure the quarterback. New England also one of the worst defenses in football and their secondary is taking a lot of Heat.

Is revenge a factor in the Super Bowl? If it was, you would think that could give the Patriots a little edge. Although only seven players (including five starters) remain from the 2007 Super Bowl team that saw the Giants upset them and ruin their historic, perfect season – it’s said to really eat at Brady and Belichick and everyone knows this.

The Giants upset the Patriots in week 9 in New England as 9.5 point underdogs. They pressured Brady all day and Eli Manning came up big when it mattered most.

As a superstitious bettor, I have to be weary of a public dog like the Giants, the revenge factor and the fact that the Patriots have been playing all season for Myra Kraft, the wife of owner Robert Kraft, who passed away prior to the season from a battle with Cancer.

Many are expecting a shootout in this game and the oddsmakers have set the total at the second highest Super Bowl total ever at 55.

It will be interesting to see if anything changes during the Super Bowl week itself regarding the public and the betting action on this game. We’ll be watching!

Careful of Betting Systems

NFL Betting, Sports Betting

Jan 262012

One thing you see a lot of on the internet is people claiming to have the perfect betting system and it’s often billed as a quick, get risk scheme. Of course you’ll want to research it yourself and not take anyone’s word for it as often these systems are chase systems that could require gigantic bankrolls and the risk/reward just doesn’t make a whole lot of financial sense.

Around big events such as the Super Bowl or March Madness, you’ll hear much more about these can’t miss betting systems.

This Super Bowl betting system used to get a lot of play years ago. Even the local sports sections in the newspapers used to publish it. Legend has it that this super bowl system started 32-3-2 against the spread but it now 34-10-2 against the spread. I personally have not backtracked it for all these years but I think what happens is, someone publishes something and at the time states the system is 32-3 and people start paying attention and running with it. Before you know it, the system is now 34-10. Anyway in case you are wondering – here is the so-called Super Bowl Super System and no, I didn’t do the work for you.

The below stats are used to determine the winner for the Super Bowl. These numbers are for regular season games only.

1. Give 10 points if a team has won a Super Bowl in the last three years.

2. Give 8.0 points to any team whose opponent is playing in their very first Super Bowl in franchise history.

3. Give 8.0 points to the team that has allowed the fewer defensive rushes.

4. Give 7.0 points to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs.

5. Give 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes.

6. Give 5.0 points to the team with the lower defensive rush average per carry.

7. Give 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns.

8. Give 4.0 points to the team the team with the better record against the point spread.

9. Give 4.0 points to the team that has the superior net penalty yards.

10. Give 3.5 points to the team that has the best yards per pass attempt.

11. Give 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest points.

12. Give 3.5 points to the team that has allowed the fewest rushing touchdowns.

13. Give 3.0 points to the team that has the most sacks.

14. Give 2.5 points to the team with the fewest offensive pass attempts.

15. Give 2.0 points to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year.

16. Give 1.5 points to the team with the best average per offensive rush.

17. Give 1.0 points to the team with the best completion percentage.

The current odds for Super Bowl XLVI are New England -3, 55 over the New York Giants.

Looking back at NYG-NE Week 9

NFL Betting

Jan 242012

This game was played in early November and was the first time these two played since the infamous Super Bowl. We wanted to take a look at the game and point out any news or interesting facts.

New England was a 9.5 point favorite. The total was 51.5. The Giants won and covered 24-20 and the game went under.

After this game the Giants were 6-2 and proceeded to lose the next four games.

After this game the Patriots haven’t lost since.

Ahmad Bradshaw and Hakeem Nicks did not play in this game.

Brandon Jacobs averaged 4 yards a carry on 18 for 72 with a touchdown.

Victor Cruz was the leading Giants receiver with 6 for 91. The next highest receiver was tight end Jake Ballard with 4 for 67 and a touchdown.

Wes Welker led New England receivers on 9 for 136. Rob Gronkowski also had a big game on 8 for 101 with a touchdown.

Manning was 20 of 39 for 250 with two touchdowns and a pick. He averaged 6.4 per completion and had a passer rating of 77.9.

Brady was 28 of 49 for 342 with two td and two picks. He averaged 7 yards a completion and had a passing rating of 75.4.

The Giants fumbled twice in this game but lost one. The Patriots fumbled twice and lost both. Giants created four tournovers.

Brady was sacked twice, Manning was not sacked.

S. Gosthowski was 2 for 3 on field goals. L Tynes was 1 for 1.

The Giants punted 8 times, Patriots punted 5.

Time of possession was about even (Giants 30:17), (Pats 29:43).

This game was scoreless at the half. Giants led 10-0 and 10-3 after 3rd. Patriots took the lead with 1:36 left. Giants won with :15.

Super Bowl XLVI

NFL Betting

Jan 232012

Super Bowl XLVI is now set as the New England Patriots and the New York Giants will face off in Indianapolis on February 5th, 2012. The big game will matchup one of the hottest teams in the NFC Vs. one of the top offenses in the AFC.

Oddsmakers have opened the odds at New England -3. The total is 55.

New England defeated Baltimore 23-20 in a game that had many twists and turns and the game wasn’t decided until the final seconds. The Ravens covered the point-spread as New England was -7. The game went under the total of 48 points.

The Ravens had plenty of opportunities in the 4th quarter. Flacco was intercepted in one drive the big blow came with 11 seconds left and the Ravens lining up for a chip shot 32 year old field goal that would have sent the game in to overtime. Cundiff missed badly sending the Patriots back to the Super Bowl and giving Belichick and Brady a chance at their 4th Super Bowl trophy together.

Tom Brady completed 22-of-36 for 239 yards. He threw two picks with no touchdowns for a QB rating of 57.5.

One gambler who had Baltimore +7 said, “Brady took a dump and the Patriots got lucky to win this game”

Flacco will receive some criticism in Baltimore for not getting the job done, regardless of Billy Cundiff missing a field goal he will make 9 out of 10 times. Flacco’s stat sheet was 22-of-36 for 306 yards. He threw two touchdowns and one interception for a 95.4 passer rating.

It’s also been reported that offensive coordinator Cam Cameron will not be invited back.

New England did a good job containing Ray Rice. Rice ran for 67 yards on 21 carries (3.2 avg). He had a long run of 12 yards. Green-Ellis gave the Patriots 68 yards on only 15 carries. He had a long run of 13 yards and a touchdown.

In San Francisco, the Giants and Niners went back and forth with both teams having several chances last few minutes of the 4th quarter but in the end it was a muffed punt by Kyle Williams in overtime that gave the Giants the ball inside 49ers territory and Lawrence Tynes ended up kicking a 31 yard game winner with 7:30 on the clock. The 20-17 Giants win went under the total. The Giants were +2.5 in the game.

Eli Manning had another big game for the Giants, going 32-for-58 for 316 yards including two touchdowns. Alex Smith had an efficient game in the Niners loss.

The Giants were 100-1 in betting odds futures not to long ago and considered dead by many. It’s been reported that a Giants Super Bowl win would be a bad loss for the bookmakers.

Super Bowl History Results

NFL Betting

Jan 232012

This year the New England Patriots will take on the NY Giants in Super Bowl XLVI. Currently the Patriots are favored by 3 points. The Total is 55.

Superbowl	Year	Winner	Odds	Loser	Total
XLV	2011	Green Bay Packers 31	-3	Pittsburgh Steelers 25	45, OVER
XLIV	2010	New Orleans Saints 31	+5	Indianapolis Colts 17	57, UNDER
XLIII	2009	Pittsburgh Steelers 27	-7	Arizona Cardinals 23	46, OVER
XLII	2008	New York Giants 17	+12	New England Patriots 14	55, UNDER
XLI	2007	Indianapolis Colts 29	-7	Chicago Bears 17	47, UNDER
XL	2006	Pittsburgh Steelers 21	-4	Seattle Seahawks 10	47, UNDER
XXXIX	2005	New England Patriots 24	-7	Philadelphia Eagles 21	46.5, UNDER
XXXVIII	2004	New England Patriots 32	-7	Carolina Panthers 29	37.5, OVER
XXXVII	2003	Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48	+4	Oakland Raiders 21	44, OVER
XXXVI	2002	New England Patriots 20	+14	St. Louis Rams 17	53, UNDER
XXXV	2001	Baltimore Ravens 34	-3	New York Giants 7	33, OVER
XXXIV	2000	St. Louis Rams 23	-7	Tennessee Titans 16	47.5, UNDER
XXXIII	1999	Denver Broncos 34	-7.5	Atlanta Falcons 19	52.5, OVER
XXXII	1998	Denver Broncos 31	+11	Green Bay Packers 24	49, OVER
XXXI	1997	Green Bay Packers 35	-14	New England Patriots 21	49, OVER
XXX	1996	Dallas Cowboys 27	-13.5	Pittsburgh Steelers 17	51, UNDER
XXIX	1995	San Francisco 49ers 49	-18.5	San Diego Chargers 26	53.5, OVER
XXVIII	1994	Dallas Cowboys 30	-10.5	Buffalo Bills 13	50.5, UNDER
XXVII	1993	Dallas Cowboys 52	-6.5	Buffalo Bills 17	44.5, OVER
XXVI	1992	Washington Redskins 37	-7	Buffalo Bills 24	49, OVER
XXV	1991	New York Giants 20	+7	Buffalo Bills 19	40.5, UNDER
XXIV	1990	San Francisco 49ers 55	-12	Denver Broncos 10	48, OVER
XXIII	1989	San Francisco 49ers 20	-7	Cincinnati Bengals 16	48, UNDER
XXII	1988	Washington Redskins 42	+3	Denver Broncos 10	47, OVER
XXI	1987	New York Giants 39	-9.5	Denver Broncos 20	40, OVER
XX	1986	Chicago Bears 46	-10	New England Patriots 10	37.5, OVER
XIX	1985	San Francisco 49ers 38	-3.5	Miami Dolphins 16	53.5, OVER
XVIII	1984	LA Raiders 38	+3	Washington Redskins 9	48, UNDER
XVII	1983	Washington Redskins 27	+3	Miami Dolphins 17	36.5, OVER
XVI	1982	San Francisco 49ers 26	-1	Cincinnati Bengals 21	48, UNDER
XV	1981	Oakland Raiders 27	+3	Philadelphia Eagles 10	37.5, UNDER
XIV	1980	Pittsburgh Steelers 31	-10.5	Los Angeles Rams 19	36, OVER
XIII	1979	Pittsburgh Steelers 35	-3.5	Dallas Cowboys 31	37, OVER
XII	1978	Dallas Cowboys 27	-6	Denver Broncos 10	39, UNDER
XI	1977	Oakland Raiders 32	-4	Minnesota Vikings 14	38, OVER
X	1976	Pittsburgh Steelers 21	-7	Dallas Cowboys 17	36, OVER
IX	1975	Pittsburgh Steelers 16	-3	Minnesota Vikings 6	33, UNDER
VIII	1974	Miami Dolphins 24	-6.5	Minnesota Vikings 7	33, UNDER
VII	1973	Miami Dolphins 14	-1	Washington Redskins 7	33, UNDER
VI	1972	Dallas Cowboys 24	-6	Miami Dolphins 3	34, UNDER
V	1971	Baltimore Colts 16	-2.5	Dallas Cowboys 13	36, UNDER
IV	1970	Kansas City Chiefs 23	+12	Minnesota Vikings 7	39, UNDER
III	1969	New York Jets 16	+18	Baltimore Colts 7	40, UNDER
II	1968	Green Bay Packers 33	-13.5	Oakland Raiders 14	43, OVER
I	1967	Green Bay Packers 35	-14	Kansas City Chiefs 10	NL

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