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Jan 242012
 
 

This game was played in early November and was the first time these two played since the infamous Super Bowl. We wanted to take a look at the game and point out any news or interesting facts.

New England was a 9.5 point favorite. The total was 51.5. The Giants won and covered 24-20 and the game went under.

After this game the Giants were 6-2 and proceeded to lose the next four games.

After this game the Patriots haven’t lost since.

Ahmad Bradshaw and Hakeem Nicks did not play in this game.

Brandon Jacobs averaged 4 yards a carry on 18 for 72 with a touchdown.

Victor Cruz was the leading Giants receiver with 6 for 91. The next highest receiver was tight end Jake Ballard with 4 for 67 and a touchdown.

Wes Welker led New England receivers on 9 for 136. Rob Gronkowski also had a big game on 8 for 101 with a touchdown.

Manning was 20 of 39 for 250 with two touchdowns and a pick. He averaged 6.4 per completion and had a passer rating of 77.9.

Brady was 28 of 49 for 342 with two td and two picks. He averaged 7 yards a completion and had a passing rating of 75.4.

The Giants fumbled twice in this game but lost one. The Patriots fumbled twice and lost both. Giants created four tournovers.

Brady was sacked twice, Manning was not sacked.

S. Gosthowski was 2 for 3 on field goals. L Tynes was 1 for 1.

The Giants punted 8 times, Patriots punted 5.

Time of possession was about even (Giants 30:17), (Pats 29:43).

This game was scoreless at the half. Giants led 10-0 and 10-3 after 3rd. Patriots took the lead with 1:36 left. Giants won with :15.

Jan 202012
 
 

No Super Bowl winner has won less than 10 regular season games (Giants).

The Patriots won 13 regular season games, none against a team with a winning record. New England had second easiest schedule in NFL.

Tom Brady is 9-2 at home in the playoffs in his career.

Baltimore is 9-0 this year when Ray Rice gets 20 or more carries.

Baltimore has covered 5 of last 6 games this year against teams with a winning record.

New England has gone over the total in 8 of the last 9 games.

New England has won 9 games in a row. Baltimore has won 8 of last 10.

New England is first in total offense in the AFC. Baltimore is 3rd in total defense in the AFC.

Although Tom Brady is 4-1 in AFC Championship games, Brady has only a 83.7 passer rating in these games on 91 of 143 for 1000 yards with 6 tds and 5 picks.

Since getting blown out by the Saints on the road, the Giants have beaten the Cowboys, Jets and Packers on the road.

The Patriots are 15-4 all-time against the AFC North in the regular season since the division was formed in 2002.

The only AFC North losses for New England are against the Steelers (three) and Browns (one). New England is 1-1 against the AFC North in the postseason with a 2004 AFC Championship Game win at Pittsburgh and a 2009 loss at home to Baltimore.

The majority of TV experts are predicting a Patriots/Giants Super Bowl.

 

A LOOK AROUND THE WEB ON RAVENS AT PATRIOTS

Andy Benoit says the Patriots’ offense is the best the Ravens have seen all season, but Ray Lewis’ defense is the best the Patriots have seen as well.

Harbaugh is 5-3 in the playoffs, with each of his losses to the AFC’s Super Bowl representative that season. That’s not bad. But it’s not his goal or the goal of his football team. Making it to the Super Bowl is, and last time I checked, Harbaugh was waiting on his first trip there with the Ravens.

Pete Prisco says Ray Rice might be key for the Ravens, but they have to make some plays down the field, and Joe Flacco will – it just won’t be enough.

Mike Freeman says the Patriots have the easiest rode to the Super Bowl in the Bill Belichick era, maybe the easiest road of any potential Super Bowl champion in years.

Ryan Wilson says in order for the Ravens to get to the Super Bowl, the defense will have to have its best game against Brady. Offensively, Joe Flacco will need to step up and avoid silly mistakes.

Will Brinson says the Patriots are a shockingly high favorite in this game and are the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl.

Patriots coach Bill Belichick believes S Ed Reed is one of the best safeties to ever play. The feelings are mutual from Reed to New England’s offense. “You have to keep your eyes on all of them,” Reed said. “They’ve got a bunch of weapons and we know that.”

OC Cam Cameron doesn’t believe the notion that QB Joe Flacco needs to match Tom Brady throw for throw in Sunday’s AFC Championship. “We’re not going out there trying to outperform the other QB,” Cameron said. “We’re trying to play to the way the defense is playing us.”

The Patriots know they have to do a better job against Ravens DT Haloti Ngata, who had two sacks in the 2010 regular-season matchup between the two teams.

For the second consecutive day, S Ed Reed (ankle) is the only player listed on the injury report. Reed was limited in Thursday’s practice. Reed is expected to play after rolling his ankle at the end of Baltimore’s 20-13 divisional round win over Houston.

“I just missed practice, that’s all,” Brady said. “Not much more than that, really. We’re facing a great team, great challenges — certainly the best team we’ve faced all year. Everyone needs to be at full strength, though. It’s going to be a very physical, tough, hard-nosed game. We need everyone at full strength.”

John Clayton says, For the Ravens to win, they must clean up several things. If not, the Patriots will be heading to their fifth Super Bowl with Tom Brady at quarterback.

Jamison Hensley: As we’ve seen so far in the playoffs, home field has really been an advantage. Only one home team (Green Bay) has lost so far this postseason.

A LOOK AROUND ON THE WEB ON GIANTS AT 49ERS

We are not going to be denied,” safety Antrel Rolle said. “We are not going to be denied at this point. We understand what we have as a team. It’s not all talent, it’s about chemistry and we are jelling at this point. Coaches and players being on the same page at the same time. We have one mind, to win a championship.”

Andy Benoit says the 49ers may have made believers out of some with their old school style back in Week 10, but the Giants hadn’t gelled on the O-line and were without Ahmad Bradshaw.

Pete Prisco says Frank Gore will have to get the running game going for the 49ers, but the Giants are following the same formula they did when they won it all in 2007.

Ryan Wilson says it took almost seven years, but Alex Smith is finally playing like a first-round draft pick and needs to sustain his success.

New York isn’t playing like the 2007 version of themselves; they’re playing like last season’s Super Bowl champs.

The Giants and 49ers met six times in the playoffs from the 1981 to 1993 seasons. Four times the victor won the Super Bowl.

Is Las Vegas hoping for a 49ers win?

The Giants are the best team remaining, with a high-powered offense to go with a staunch defense.

Jan 182012
 
 

Baltimore has been somewhat of an under the radar team although many NFL experts have predicted the Ravens to be a serious contender this year. Every time we would be ready to put the Ravens in the top class they would lay a stinker on the road against a far inferior team.

 

The Ravens started off 4-1 heading in to a divisional road game against a struggling Jaguars team. Flacco only threw for 137 yards and Ray Rice only rushed for 28 on Monday Night Football. The result was a Jacksonville 12-7 win. Baltimore was a 10 point favorite in this game.

 

Baltimore went on to win the next two games to bring their record to 6-2 with a big win over the Steelers in Pittsburgh. Flacco threw for 300 and the Ravens were looking good, playing confident and they had a trip to Seattle up next. Again another mediocre performance from Flacco (255) and Rice (43) and the Ravens lost outright as a 6.5 point favorite by a score of 22-17.

 

The Ravens were 6-3 at the time and whispers were beginning that Flacco couldn’t take them anywhere, they were soft and can’t win on the road – something they may have needed to do in the playoffs.

 

Baltimore than reeled off four straight wins including a prime time win against his brother and the San Francisco 49ers. The Ravens were now sitting at 10-3 with a road game in San Diego lingering. At the time this was being billed as a huge game for the Ravens chances of winning the division and getting a home game (or even a bye). Another failed result. The Chargers held Rice to 57 yards on way to a 34-14 blowout win.

 

The Ravens had two games left within the division and were getting some help by the Steelers leaving them opportunity for success. They defeated Cleveland at home 20-14 with one game left in Cincinnati. This was a big game to both teams. The Ravens were in the playoffs win or lose but a win could get them a bye week, a home game in the divisional round and avoiding the Patriots until the AFC Championship. Cincinnati was there to play. A win and they were finally back in the playoffs. At the time, a loss was thought to be out because of all the scenarios. Baltimore came in to the game and really set the tone early. Ray Rice went for 191 on the ground and the Ravens finally won on the road 24-16.

 

This past week at home, Baltimore got all they could handle from the Houston Texans but the Ravens made plays and came away with a 20-13 win, failing to cover the 7.5 point spread. It should be noted that Houston was down to a 3rd string quarterback and Andre Johnson was not 100%.

 

So now the Ravens will get their biggest test on the road yet against machine like Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. The Pats are favored by 7.5 points at Bookmaker.eu, with odds creeping towards -9. The total set at 50.5.

 

What to make of the New England Patriots? In some respects the Patriots came in to the playoffs a little underrated. Most were talking about their terrible defense which was one of the worst in the league. Saying that, the Patriots went 13-3, secured home field advantage throughout the playoffs and Tom Brady may have won MVP in most years where Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees didn’t go off.

 

The Patriots were 7-1 at home this year with their only loss coming early in November to the New York Giants by a score of 24-20. New England was a 9.5 point favorite. Eli Manning passed for 2 TDs and 250 yards while Brandon Jacobs rushed for 72 yards and Victor Cruz and added 91 receiving yards.

 

Tom Brady and the double tight ends with Wes Welker in the slot has caused major problems. Since losing to the Giants and two in a row, the Pats have scored 37, 34, 38, 31, 34, 41, 27, 49 and now 45 in the opening round of the playoffs against a completely overmatched Denver Broncos team. So are the Pats battle tested?

 

Most of the teams they have killed are bottom of the barrel teams (Buffalo, Denver twice, Washington, Indianapolis, Philadelphia, Kansas City and the New York Jets). Only Denver made the playoffs.

 

New England doesn’t run the ball often and won’t be surprised if Brady throws 50 times in this game considering the Ravens are the number 1 rushing defense and 3rd in total defense in the AFC. But can you count out Tom Brady? The Patriots were the number 1 passing offense and number 1 total offense in the AFC.

 

Tom Brady and the Patriots have lost three straight playoff games. This game is big to Tom personally and the entire Patriots staff understands the significance of the chance to get to the Super Bowl and somehow avoid a New Orleans or New England.

 

The Ravens will probably cover this game (maybe backdoor or early lead) as I can’t lay 9 points but I like the Patriots to win and advance and I think points will be scored. I’ll go over the total of 50.5 with a small parlay with Patriots moneyline.

 

This should be a great game!

Jan 142012
 
 

Considering Tebow was able to have success throwing the ball on one of the league’s premier defenses a week ago, going up against a New England unit that’s been glaringly submissive all throughout this season should be no sweat, right? Don’t count on it. The well-coached Patriots will learn from the Steelers’ mistakes and aren’t about to let Thomas have one-on-one matchups the talented young receiver can exploit, and the big plays that fueled Denver’s first-round upset won’t be nearly as prevalent even though New England will give up its share of yards. Stopping the opposition may be the Broncos’ greatest concern this weekend, however, as there’s little question that the Patriots have the more efficient and experienced of these two offenses. As the team that’s also less likely to make the big mistake, New England seems to stand a pretty good chance of erasing its recent run of playoff misfortune.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Patriots 37, Broncos 24
Current Odds: Denver +13.5

Denver: 8-8 SU, 7-8-1 ATS
New England: 13-3 SU, 9-6-1 ATS

Denver most recently:
When playing in January are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

New England most recently:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing New England
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games
New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England’s last 14 games at home

Some content comes from both Sports Network and Chalk